ASEC 4-0 Orapa Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 19 Jan 2025

ASEC
4-0 HT 1-0
Orapa Utd
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

ASEC vs Orapa Utd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
3.06
No
65%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-10.1pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.8pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
28%
+6.1pp
65%
BTTS No
72%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ASEC v Orapa Utd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASEC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Orapa Utd EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/3.73
-36% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.5
20.9 Crosses 5.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

ASEC vs Orapa Utd Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASEC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orapa Utd
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.79 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
417 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Orapa Utd Orapa Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 ASEC CAFKK

ASEC 4-0 Orapa Utd — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASEC
4-0
AWAY Orapa Utd
2.09 xG 0.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
348 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ASEC vs Orapa Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASEC swept aside Orapa Utd 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ASEC as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, ASEC had 56% of the ball to Orapa Utd's 44%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.09 to 0.19.

What was the final score of ASEC vs Orapa Utd?

ASEC 4-0 Orapa Utd in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASEC vs Orapa Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASEC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split ASEC 70%, draw 18%, Orapa Utd 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASEC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ASEC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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