Stade Malien Bamako 0-1 CD Lunda-Sul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.0
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Lunda-Sul EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Lunda-Sul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
171 Passes 296
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 CD Lunda-Sul CD Lunda-Sul 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
0-1
AWAY CD Lunda-Sul
0.83 xG 0.26
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
413 Passes 124
81% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs CD Lunda-Sul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Lunda-Sul squeezed past Stade Malien Bamako 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Malien Bamako at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 71% of the ball to CD Lunda-Sul's 29%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 0.83 to 0.26 — on chances, Stade Malien Bamako could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs CD Lunda-Sul?

Stade Malien Bamako 0-1 CD Lunda-Sul in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs CD Lunda-Sul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 50%, draw 29%, CD Lunda-Sul 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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