USM Alger 2-0 Jaraaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.42
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.2pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaraaf EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.19
+5% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +101%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
23.1 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jaraaf
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.44 xG 0.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
451 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Jaraaf Jaraaf 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-0
AWAY Jaraaf
1.18 xG 0.27
78% Ball Possession 22%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
549 Passes 89
84% Pass Accuracy 50%
18 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Jaraaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger saw off Jaraaf 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 78% of the ball to Jaraaf's 22%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.18 to 0.27.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Jaraaf?

USM Alger 2-0 Jaraaf in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Jaraaf?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 57%, draw 26%, Jaraaf 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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