FC Goa 1-0 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.27
2-3
36%
1.85
4-5
26%
2.76
6+
13%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal The Market 24%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.46/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.21
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
26.7 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
5W-0D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.59 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
385 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
06.03.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
21.10.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.01.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 4-2 HT 3-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
12.10.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
19.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 1-2 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
1-0
AWAY East Bengal
1.32 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
324 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa edged past East Bengal 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Goa had 50% of the ball to East Bengal's 50%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Goa and 1.33 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs East Bengal?

FC Goa 1-0 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 48%, draw 25%, East Bengal 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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