Shatin SA 4-1 Wing Yee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-19.9pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.22/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/3.34
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
503 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Wing Yee
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-5 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
22.10.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 1-1 HT 1-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
09.04.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-1 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
11.12.2022 Wing Yee Wing Yee 1-3 HT 0-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
28.11.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-1 HT 2-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
4-1
AWAY Wing Yee
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Wing Yee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA ran out comfortable winners over Wing Yee 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Shatin SA had 72% of the ball to Wing Yee's 28%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shatin SA and 1.00 for Wing Yee.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Wing Yee?

Shatin SA 4-1 Wing Yee in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Wing Yee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 65%, draw 18%, Wing Yee 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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