Tuen Mun SA 2-5 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.0pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-9.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 75%
+78% / +78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.48/1.27
+150% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuen Mun SA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoi King
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 5-2 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuen Mun SA
2-5
AWAY Hoi King
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tuen Mun SA vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King cruised past Tuen Mun SA 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 41% of the ball to Hoi King's 59%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs Hoi King?

Tuen Mun SA 2-5 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 21%, draw 18%, Hoi King 61%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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