Hoi King 5-2 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.09/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.50
-28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
5-2
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King cruised past Tuen Mun SA 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Hoi King made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hoi King had 50% of the ball to Tuen Mun SA's 50%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Tuen Mun SA?

Hoi King 5-2 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tuen Mun SA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 37%, draw 23%, Tuen Mun SA 40%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tuen Mun SA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tuen Mun SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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