South China 4-1 Resources Capital FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH South China vs Resources Capital FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Resources Capital FC 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of South China vs Resources Capital FC?

South China 4-1 Resources Capital FC in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Resources Capital FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split South China 55%, draw 19%, Resources Capital FC 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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