Nakhon Ratchasima 3-2 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.94/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.15
+32% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.1 Crosses 22.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.73
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 12
146 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2024 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
3-2
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.27 xG 0.70
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
178 Passes 530
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima squeezed past Uthai Thani 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Nakhon Ratchasima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 30% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 70%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.27 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Uthai Thani?

Nakhon Ratchasima 3-2 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 34%, draw 31%, Uthai Thani 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uthai Thani), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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