Ratchaburi 1-0 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.08/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.09
+56% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.6 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.80 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.05.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
13.08.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
26.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
24.09.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-0
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.99 xG 0.89
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
191 Passes 473
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi squeezed past Muang Thong United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ratchaburi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 33% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 67%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.40 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United?

Ratchaburi 1-0 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 38%, draw 26%, Muang Thong United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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