Muang Thong United 2-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 29%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.77/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
+99% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +81%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.4 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.19 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
322 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
13.08.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
26.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
24.09.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
2-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.22 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
236 Passes 228
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United saw off Ratchaburi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 49% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.22 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.75 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Ratchaburi?

Muang Thong United 2-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 44%, draw 25%, Ratchaburi 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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