BG Pathum United 2-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Aug 2024

BG Pathum United
2-0 HT 2-0
Chiangrai United
📅28/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.96
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
359 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
25.5 Crosses 13.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-3 HT 1-3 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
26.11.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 3-1 HT 2-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
12.02.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-2 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
06.10.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-2 HT 0-2 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY

BG Pathum United 2-0 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
2-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.24 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
441 Passes 299
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United saw off Chiangrai United 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 58% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 42%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.24 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.50 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?

BG Pathum United 2-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 55%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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