Göztepe 1-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 23% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.04
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.28
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
8%
5.47
2/1
10%
22.1
2/2
10%
8.25
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.69
+38% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.6 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
09.01.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 4-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
15.08.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
02.05.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-3 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
09.01.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
22.01.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 1-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
1-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
3.74 xG 0.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
193 Passes 317
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe squeezed past Antalyaspor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Göztepe had 41% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 59%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.74 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Göztepe's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Göztepe and 1.00 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Antalyaspor?

Göztepe 1-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 53%, draw 24%, Antalyaspor 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ BTTS No
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