Konyaspor 3-3 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
18%
4.86
X/2
9%
7.64
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.83
-23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.0 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
273 Passes 286
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.08.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-3 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
13.04.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-2 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
25.11.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.10.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.02.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 4-4 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
3-3
AWAY Kasımpaşa
2.17 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 7
226 Passes 236
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor and Kasımpaşa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 50% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 50%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.17 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Konyaspor and 1.33 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Konyaspor 3-3 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 40%, draw 30%, Kasımpaşa 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Konyaspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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