Kasımpaşa 2-3 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

Kasımpaşa
2-3 HT 0-1
Konyaspor
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.3
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.42
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Konyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.75/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.37
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.4 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Konyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.46 xG 1.75
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 289
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-2 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
25.11.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.10.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.02.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 4-4 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
27.09.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL

Kasımpaşa 2-3 Konyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-3
AWAY Konyaspor
0.70 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
315 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 60% of the ball to Konyaspor's 40%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.70 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 2.17 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor?

Kasımpaşa 2-3 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 41%, draw 30%, Konyaspor 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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