Fenerbahçe 1-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.48
2-3 Goals
33%
2.49
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
18%
3.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.26
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
30.0
X/1
24%
3.71
X/2
5%
32.5
X/X
7%
13.2
2/1
8%
19.8
2/2
6%
21.85
2/X
5%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.2pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.2pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.51/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.29
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.0 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.11 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
12.11.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
02.02.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
22.08.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
10.01.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
15.08.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
1-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.49 xG 0.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
343 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe nicked a narrow win over Adana Demirspor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 53% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 47%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor?

Fenerbahçe 1-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 65%, draw 19%, Adana Demirspor 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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