Monastir 3-1 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
40%
1.96
2-3
37%
1.77
4-5
16%
5.89
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
60%
-16.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.5pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin The Market 17%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.21/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.13
-18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CA Bizertin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
05.11.2023 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
27.08.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-2 HT 0-1 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
14.03.2021 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-2 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
31.12.2020 Monastir Monastir 2-2 HT 1-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
01.12.2019 Monastir Monastir 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
POST-MATCH Monastir vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir saw off CA Bizertin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monastir and 0.33 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of Monastir vs CA Bizertin?

Monastir 3-1 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monastir 44%, draw 33%, CA Bizertin 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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