Stade Tunisien 1-1 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.41
Over
43%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.05
No Pick
63%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1
39%
1.85
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
18%
6.56
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
29%
+8.4pp
63%
BTTS No
71%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis The Market 16%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.49/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.86
+2% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +68%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 171 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
01.09.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
19.04.2015 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Tunisien
1-1
AWAY Zarzis
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien and Zarzis shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Tunisien at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Stade Tunisien had 54% of the ball to Zarzis's 46%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zarzis led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.00 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis?

Stade Tunisien 1-1 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 51%, draw 30%, Zarzis 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Tunisien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN1 More Tunisia - 1st Division
19 Jan 2025
16:00 EGS Gafsa vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Analysis →
16:00 Monastir vs CA Bizertin Analysis →