Lanus 4-1 Sar La Banda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 19 Jan 2026

Lanus
4-1 HT 1-0
Sar La Banda
📅19/01/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Cup – 2026

Lanus vs Sar La Banda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 30% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.49
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
22.7
X/1
22%
3.73
X/2
5%
20.7
X/X
11%
7.38
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
4%
19.1
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Sar La Banda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sar La Banda EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.59/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+32% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
35.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Sar La Banda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus swept aside Sar La Banda 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Sar La Banda?

Lanus 4-1 Sar La Banda in the Argentina - Cup on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Sar La Banda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lanus 65%, draw 22%, Sar La Banda 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJK More Argentina - Cup
19 Jan 2026
01:00 Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Analysis →