Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.84
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
21.2
X/1
15%
3.52
X/2
12%
14.6
X/X
17%
4.61
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
9%
14.9
2/X
5%
24.85
Value flag · 1/X at 21.2 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 28%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.97
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.34 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
176 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
16.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
08.02.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.11.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia saw off Estudiantes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.25 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Cup on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 39%, draw 34%, Estudiantes 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5
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