Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
25%
3.88
X/2
8%
8.66
X/X
15%
4.1
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
7%
7.47
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.56/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.49
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.8 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 395
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace FAK
04.01.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton FAK
11.11.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
22.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
22.10.2022 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.05.2022 Everton Everton 3-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.80 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
423 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Crystal Palace couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Everton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Everton had 63% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 37%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Everton and 0.67 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Everton 52%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Everton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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