Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.59
6+ Goals
10%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
9%
7.21
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.96
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -20%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
+102% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
8.0 Crosses 13.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 380
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton FAK
11.11.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
22.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
22.10.2022 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.05.2022 Everton Everton 3-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
20.03.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-0
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.96 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
306 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton edged past Crystal Palace 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Everton had 46% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 54%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace in the England - FA Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Everton 48%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✓ BTTS No
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