Bristol Rovers 1-3 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
8%
24.3
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.93
X/2
12%
5.44
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.27
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.58/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.09
+81% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Norwich City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
06.01.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 1-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers FAK
01.05.2010 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İN1
03.10.2009 Norwich City Norwich City 5-1 HT 4-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
1-3
AWAY Norwich City
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City got the better of Bristol Rovers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Norwich City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 45% of the ball to Norwich City's 55%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bristol Rovers and 3.00 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Norwich City?

Bristol Rovers 1-3 Norwich City in the England - FA Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 36%, draw 25%, Norwich City 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
17 Jan 2024
22:45 Everton vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
22:45 Blackpool vs Nottingham Forest Analysis →