Guastatoya 0-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 Feb 2024

Guastatoya
0-1 HT 0-1
Municipal
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Guastatoya vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guastatoya v Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.20
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Guastatoya vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.07.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
12.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
22.01.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
06.11.2022 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-3 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal edged past Guastatoya 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Municipal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guastatoya and 1.83 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Guastatoya 0-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 38%, draw 30%, Municipal 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guastatoya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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