Municipal vs Guastatoya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Guastatoya — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Guastatoya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Municipal
GUAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
2-1
HT 0-1
Municipal
GUAT
1-3
HT 1-2
Municipal
GUAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
Municipal 5-1 Guastatoya — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal swept aside Guastatoya 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Municipal had 69% of the ball to Guastatoya's 31%, shots finished 17-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Guastatoya.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Municipal 5-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Municipal 47%, draw 28%, Guastatoya 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.