Malacateco vs Xelaju MC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Xelaju MC — Team-Based Signals
Malacateco vs Xelaju MC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
2-0
HT 2-0
Xelaju MC
GUAT
0-3
HT 0-1
Xelaju MC
GUAT
2-1
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
1-0
HT 1-0
Xelaju MC
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Malacateco
GUAT
Malacateco 1-0 Xelaju MC — Actual Match Statistics
Malacateco nicked a narrow win over Xelaju MC 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Malacateco had 46% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 54%, shots finished 9-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.17 for Xelaju MC.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?
Malacateco 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 45%, draw 27%, Xelaju MC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.