Genesis PN 1-0 Vida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vida EU Bookmakers 22%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -19%
1.99/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.75
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vida
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.08.2023 Vida Vida 2-4 HT 1-4 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Vida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN edged past Vida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genesis PN as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Vida?

Genesis PN 1-0 Vida in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Vida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 57%, draw 20%, Vida 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
19 Feb 2024
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