Lobos UPNFM 0-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Feb 2024

Lobos UPNFM
0-2 HT 0-2
Motagua
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobos UPNFM v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.16/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.97
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Motagua
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-4 HT 1-3 Motagua Motagua HON
31.07.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.03.2023 Motagua Motagua 4-3 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
22.01.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
21.10.2022 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
21.08.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua got the better of Lobos UPNFM 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Motagua made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua?

Lobos UPNFM 0-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 36%, draw 26%, Motagua 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ BTTS Yes
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