Cienciano 3-2 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.70/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.77
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
23.1 Crosses 13.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.06.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
14.08.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
19.03.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 4-1 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
18.07.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-4 HT 0-3 Cienciano Cienciano PER
14.10.2020 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
3-2
AWAY Sport Boys
1.95 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
342 Passes 138
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cienciano had 67% of the ball to Sport Boys's 33%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cienciano's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cienciano and 1.50 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sport Boys?

Cienciano 3-2 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 55%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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