Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 29%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.78/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.66
+113% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.0 Crosses 15.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
27.08.2021 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PERU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2-2
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.42 xG 0.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
167 Passes 311
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 15
5 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos and Atletico Grau shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Comerciantes Unidos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 40% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 60%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?

Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 44%, draw 29%, Atletico Grau 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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