Al Adalah 2-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.30/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.82
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah and Al Najma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Adalah at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Najma?

Al Adalah 2-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 44%, draw 32%, Al Najma 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✗ Under 2.5
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