19/02/2024
·
15:55
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Al-Saqer vs Wajj Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
44%
22%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Saqer v Wajj — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Saqer
The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Wajj
The Market 33%
+42% /
+42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/2.00
+128%
/
-44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+82%
/
-26%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
312 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Saqer vs Wajj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Saqer saw off Wajj 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Al-Saqer made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al-Saqer vs Wajj?
Al-Saqer 2-0 Wajj in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Saqer vs Wajj?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Saqer win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al-Saqer 39%, draw 22%, Wajj 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
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19 Feb 2024