19/02/2024
·
15:35
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Jubail vs Hottain Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
40%
21%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Jubail v Hottain — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Jubail
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hottain
The Market 34%
+45% /
+45%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+70%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
312 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Jubail vs Hottain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Jubail squeezed past Hottain 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Jubail as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Hottain?
Al Jubail 1-0 Hottain in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Hottain?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jubail win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 46%, draw 21%, Hottain 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jubail), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Jubail)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SUUD2
More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
19 Feb 2024