Vukovar 1-1 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rudes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2024 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-1
AWAY Rudes
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Rudes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vukovar at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Vukovar had 43% of the ball to Rudes's 57%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Rudes?

Vukovar 1-1 Rudes in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 56%, draw 24%, Rudes 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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