Posta Rangers 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
+44% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY TransMara Sugar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.10.2024 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
1-1
AWAY TransMara Sugar
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers and TransMara Sugar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 63% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 37%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs TransMara Sugar?

Posta Rangers 1-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 32%, draw 30%, TransMara Sugar 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (TransMara Sugar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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