Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Feb 2026

Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1 HT 0-1
Najma
📅19/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
83%
1.16
Draw
11%
7.13
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.14
Over
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.12
No
50%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
17%
7.1
2-3
34%
2.18
4-5
31%
2.3
6+
18%
4.14
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.1 — our 17% vs market 8.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Al Ahli Jeddah v Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma The Market 9%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.54 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.65
0.71 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.69
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.5 Crosses 10.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Najma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.25 xG 0.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
350 Passes 218
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.10.2025 Najma Najma 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Najma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Najma
3.60 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 0
283 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Al Ahli Jeddah vs Najma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Ahli Jeddah overpowered Najma 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Al Ahli Jeddah had 58% of the ball to Najma's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 3.60 to 0.54.

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Najma Result & Final Score

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Najma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 83%, draw 11%, Najma 6%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5
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