Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Mar 2024

Hampton & Richmond
1-1 HT 1-1
Welling United
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hampton & Richmond v Welling United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.38/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Welling United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Welling United Welling United 2-1 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
25.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
08.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.03.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.10.2021 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
11.02.2020 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON

Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Welling United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
1-1
AWAY Welling United
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond and Welling United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hampton & Richmond at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 40% of the ball to Welling United's 60%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.67 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United?

Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 48%, draw 24%, Welling United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hampton & Richmond), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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