Kelty Hearts 2-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Mar 2024

Kelty Hearts
2-1 HT 0-0
Alloa Athletic
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.60/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.52
-49% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.10.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.04.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
31.12.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
05.11.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts edged past Alloa Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.50 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 2-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 26%, draw 26%, Alloa Athletic 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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