Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +2%
1.44/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.47
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
21.10.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.04.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
31.12.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
05.11.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
06.08.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic swept aside Kelty Hearts 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alloa Athletic and 0.83 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 47%, draw 24%, Kelty Hearts 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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