Hamilton 1-0 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.11
Draw
25%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-23.2pp
25%
Draw
8%
+16.9pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +8%
2.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.74
-6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
532 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Edinburgh City
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
30.12.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-5 HT 0-5 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
21.10.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
19.08.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
09.07.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
18.01.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 3-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İKK
27.07.2016 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-4 HT 2-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton edged past Edinburgh City 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Hamilton and 0.83 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Edinburgh City?

Hamilton 1-0 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 62%, draw 25%, Edinburgh City 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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