Cove Rangers 1-4 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

Cove Rangers
1-4 HT 0-3
Montrose
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cove Rangers vs Montrose Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.55
No
58%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 32% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
60%
-18.5pp
58%
BTTS No
40%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cove Rangers v Montrose — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.46
-21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cove Rangers vs Montrose Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Montrose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
14.11.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
09.09.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İKCK
19.08.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
19.03.2022 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 1-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
15.01.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose ran out comfortable winners over Cove Rangers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cove Rangers and 0.67 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Montrose?

Cove Rangers 1-4 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 47%, draw 19%, Montrose 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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