Stirling Albion 1-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.59
-24% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Falkirk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
30.12.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 5-0 HT 4-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
21.10.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
22.08.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 3-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
15.07.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 4-1 HT 3-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
16.07.2016 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
28.07.2012 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKCK
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk squeezed past Stirling Albion 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stirling Albion and 2.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Falkirk?

Stirling Albion 1-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 16%, draw 23%, Falkirk 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5
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