Compostela 0-3 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
17.02.2024 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
07.10.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril ran out comfortable winners over Compostela 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day RC Deportivo Fabril made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Compostela and 0.67 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Compostela 0-3 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Compostela 39%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Compostela), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Compostela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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