Liberya 0-1 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
6.1
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+13.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liberya EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 54%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.32/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.19
+150% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 10.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liberya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tunus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.09.2015 Liberya Liberya 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liberya
0-1
AWAY Tunus
0.73 xG 1.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
405 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Liberya vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus edged past Liberya 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Liberya had 63% of the ball to Tunus's 37%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.73 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Liberya vs Tunus?

Liberya 0-1 Tunus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liberya vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liberya 34%, draw 25%, Tunus 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
19 Mar 2025
19:00 Esvatini vs Kamerun Analysis →
19:00 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Madagaskar Analysis →