Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-4 Madagaskar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.77
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.8pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 40%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Madagaskar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.03.2023 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 2-0 HT 1-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar AFUK
23.03.2023 Madagaskar Madagaskar 0-3 HT 0-2 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
1-4
AWAY Madagaskar
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Madagaskar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar cruised past Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Madagaskar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti had 47% of the ball to Madagaskar's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti and 0.00 for Madagaskar.

What was the final score of Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Madagaskar?

Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-4 Madagaskar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Madagaskar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Madagaskar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 38%, draw 23%, Madagaskar 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madagaskar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madagaskar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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