Schalke 04 1-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Mar 2025

Schalke 04
1-0
Groningen
📅19/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Schalke 04 vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2 EV+
7%
32.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
20%
4.79
X/2
11%
7.73
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1
6%
21.5
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.79
-17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Schalke 04 1-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-0
AWAY Groningen
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 edged past Groningen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 47% of the ball to Groningen's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Groningen?

Schalke 04 1-0 Groningen in the Friendlies on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 45%, draw 24%, Groningen 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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