ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 54%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.41
+55% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.84 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
343 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HAZ
20.12.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK
31.01.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
22.11.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 6-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
28.10.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK
11.02.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 HT 3-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
0-2
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam got the better of ADO Den Haag 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sparta Rotterdam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 48% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ADO Den Haag and 2.17 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam in the Friendlies on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 34%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam)
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