Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jul 2024

Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
ADO Den Haag
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-13.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK
31.01.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
22.11.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 6-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
28.10.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK
11.02.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 HT 3-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
17.08.2019 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and ADO Den Haag couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag in the Friendlies on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 28%, ADO Den Haag 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Under 2.5
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