Manta 0-1 Guayaquil City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Guayaquil City EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.43/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.24
+79% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.3 Crosses 22.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Guayaquil City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.66 xG 0.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
156 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2021 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
11.05.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 0-3 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
0-1
AWAY Guayaquil City
0.52 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manta vs Guayaquil City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guayaquil City squeezed past Manta 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Manta at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Manta had 49% of the ball to Guayaquil City's 51%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.52 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manta had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manta and 0.50 for Guayaquil City.

What was the final score of Manta vs Guayaquil City?

Manta 0-1 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs Guayaquil City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manta 43%, draw 28%, Guayaquil City 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
19 Mar 2026
03:00 Libertad vs Barcelona SC Analysis →
22:00 Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario Analysis →