Aucas 0-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.46/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.05
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.1 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
15.02.2025 Aucas Aucas 4-1 HT 3-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
13.08.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
10.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 2-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
17.09.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-4 HT 2-3 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
0-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario edged past Aucas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aucas had 66% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 34%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aucas and 1.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?

Aucas 0-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aucas 50%, draw 27%, Tecnico Universitario 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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